AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sat, Oct 17, 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane leads at 65.0%
Polymarket traders give Harry Kane a 65.0% chance, with $51.69M traded.
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Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 65.0% | $5.83M |
| Lamine Yamal | 27.7% | $4.31M |
| Kylian Mbappé | 4.0% | $4.06M |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.5% | $2.98M |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0.3% | $3.60M |
| Michael Olise | 0.3% | $2.80M |
| Erling Haaland | 0.1% | $2.91M |
| Jude Bellingham | 0.1% | $1.61M |
| Vinícius Júnior | 0.1% | $1.08M |
| Declan Rice | 0.1% | $960,756 |
| Vitinha | 0.1% | $937,956 |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0.1% | $764,248 |
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.