Prediction Markets · Sat, Oct 17, 2026
What prediction markets are pricing today
Live odds on the 12 highest-volume open Polymarket events, with probability history and analysis.
Polymarket via AISA API
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance · 47.0%
$184.99M volumeBrazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro · 77.5%
$152.26M volumeNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen · 45.8%
$51.69M volumeBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane · 65.0%
$44.66M volumeFed Decision in October?
No change · 86.5%
$35.90M volumeIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 18 · 93.8%
$14.80M volumeUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 17 · 95.9%
$10.51M volumeLoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
Game 2 Winner · 100.0%
$8.30M volumeSeahawks vs. Broncos
Under · 50.5%
$824,575 volumeEast Carolina vs. UAB
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown · 50.0%
$741,728 volumeAppalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina
Spread -20.5 · 83.5%
$717,000 volumeCeltics vs. 76ers
Celtics vs. 76ers · 83.0%
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Volume and momentum
All tracked events
| Event | Leading | Odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance | 47.0% | $712.49M |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Flávio Bolsonaro | 77.5% | $184.99M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen | 45.8% | $152.26M |
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 | Harry Kane | 65.0% | $51.69M |
| Fed Decision in October? | No change | 86.5% | $44.66M |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | October 18 | 93.8% | $35.90M |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | October 17 | 95.9% | $14.80M |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | Game 2 Winner | 100.0% | $10.51M |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | Under | 50.5% | $8.30M |
| East Carolina vs. UAB | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50.0% | $824,575 |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | Spread -20.5 | 83.5% | $741,728 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Celtics vs. 76ers | 83.0% | $717,000 |
How this page is made. The 12 highest-volume open events on Polymarket, refreshed daily via the AISA Polymarket APIs. Odds are market-implied probabilities — the price traders pay for a Yes share — not forecasts.